Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.001798 0.001878 0.001960 0.002053 0.002154 0.002262 0.002387
2025-06-01 0.001646 0.001756 0.001875 0.002014 0.002175 0.002357 0.002579
2025-06-08 0.001574 0.001709 0.001859 0.002043 0.002264 0.002528 0.002873
2025-06-15 0.001512 0.001663 0.001837 0.002056 0.002331 0.002675 0.003152
2025-06-22 0.001444 0.001604 0.001792 0.002035 0.002349 0.002757 0.003354
2025-06-29 0.001381 0.001546 0.001743 0.002003 0.002348 0.002810 0.003519
2025-07-06 0.001335 0.001506 0.001712 0.001990 0.002367 0.002890 0.003731
2025-07-13 0.001269 0.001436 0.001640 0.001917 0.002299 0.002838 0.003730
2025-07-20 0.001236 0.001407 0.001619 0.001910 0.002320 0.002915 0.003946
2025-07-27 0.001216 0.001392 0.001613 0.001923 0.002369 0.003038 0.004259
2025-08-03 0.001186 0.001364 0.001589 0.001909 0.002377 0.003097 0.004469
2025-08-10 0.001171 0.001353 0.001587 0.001924 0.002429 0.003231 0.004849
2025-08-17 0.001146 0.001330 0.001569 0.001916 0.002447 0.003314 0.005154
2025-08-24 0.001117 0.001301 0.001541 0.001893 0.002439 0.003352 0.005373
2025-08-31 0.001109 0.001299 0.001549 0.001923 0.002517 0.003551 0.006034
2025-09-07 0.001096 0.001289 0.001546 0.001937 0.002570 0.003712 0.006671
2025-09-14 0.001073 0.001265 0.001524 0.001918 0.002568 0.003765 0.007027
2025-09-21 0.001048 0.001239 0.001495 0.001890 0.002546 0.003777 0.007267
2025-09-28 0.001029 0.001220 0.001478 0.001878 0.002552 0.003844 0.007721
2025-10-05 0.000995 0.001179 0.001428 0.001813 0.002460 0.003699 0.007384
2025-10-12 0.000981 0.001165 0.001415 0.001807 0.002472 0.003776 0.007890
2025-10-19 0.000973 0.001159 0.001415 0.001818 0.002517 0.003930 0.008797
2025-10-26 0.000958 0.001144 0.001399 0.001806 0.002517 0.003984 0.009329